Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Crosby wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 52.8% vs Zegras 42.6% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 82.1%
Defensive zone
Crosby 67.3%
Neutral zone
Crosby 76.5%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Crosby
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Crosby
Zegras
Last 7: Crosby 4-3 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
0
Crosby
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
0
Crosby
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
2
3
Crosby
Zegras
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (1,443)
41.1% (559)
+11.4%
Power Play
54.7% (369)
50.0% (12)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (34)
50.0% (2)
+5.9%
On even strength, Crosby has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Crosby is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Crosby shoots left. Zegras is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Crosby
Zegras
Home
53.0% (931)
45.7% (247)
Away
53.0% (915)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Crosby
Zegras
P1
50.3%
45.5%
P2
55.4%
36.8%
P3
53.3%
41.1%
OT
47.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 2 | 18:31 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 15:26 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 16, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 10:37 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 19:05 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 08:46 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |