Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +25.6% FO% edge overall. Crosby wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 55.5% vs Zegras 35.4% (+25.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 75.7%
Defensive zone
Crosby 84.8%
Neutral zone
Crosby 84.6%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 84.8%
84.8%
15.2%
Crosby
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Crosby
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
0
Crosby
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (984)
29.6% (230)
+24.1%
Power Play
64.7% (241)
32.1% (56)
+32.6%
Penalty Kill
64.3% (14)
100.0% (1)
-35.7%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (879).
Crosby shoots left. Zegras is 30.7% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Crosby
Zegras
Home
56.9% (649)
30.6% (147)
Away
54.9% (590)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Crosby
Zegras
P1
55.8%
33.0%
P2
53.2%
31.7%
P3
58.7%
25.6%
OT
54.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.7%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |