Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +20.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Crosby wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 56.6% vs Zegras 41.3% (+20.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 83.5%
Defensive zone
Crosby 72.3%
Neutral zone
Crosby 73.0%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 79.1%
79.1%
20.9%
Crosby
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Crosby
Zegras
Last 5: Crosby 3-2 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
1
Crosby
Zegras
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Crosby
Zegras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (1,451)
36.5% (156)
+19.7%
Power Play
61.4% (293)
40.7% (27)
+20.7%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (38)
0.0% (3)
+55.3%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +55.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Crosby shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Crosby
Zegras
Home
59.1% (939)
38.9% (113)
Away
54.7% (843)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Crosby
Zegras
P1
54.9%
40.0%
P2
60.8%
38.1%
P3
55.4%
31.6%
OT
53.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
36.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 19:06 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |