Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +19.8% FO% edge overall. Crosby wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 57.8% vs Zegras 43.3% (+19.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 71.9%
Defensive zone
Crosby 62.5%
Neutral zone
Zegras 50.9%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Crosby
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Crosby
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
0
Crosby
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Crosby
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (1,437)
39.8% (128)
+18.0%
Power Play
60.9% (381)
22.2% (9)
+38.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Crosby is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,257).
Crosby shoots left. Zegras is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Crosby
Zegras
Home
59.2% (985)
29.7% (74)
Away
57.2% (887)
48.4% (64)
By Period
Crosby
Zegras
P1
57.3%
40.7%
P2
59.5%
35.1%
P3
58.5%
41.0%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.7%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
58.2%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 14:01 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |