Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Crosby wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 55.5% vs Johnston 48.5% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 77.4%
Defensive zone
Crosby 54.2%
Neutral zone
Crosby 63.1%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Crosby
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Crosby
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Crosby
Johnston
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
0
Crosby
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (984)
47.8% (623)
+5.9%
Power Play
64.7% (241)
50.8% (63)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
64.3% (14)
51.4% (35)
+12.9%
On power play, Crosby has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Crosby is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (360).
Crosby shoots left. Johnston is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Crosby
Johnston
Home
56.9% (649)
47.6% (351)
Away
54.9% (590)
48.9% (370)
By Period
Crosby
Johnston
P1
55.8%
49.6%
P2
53.2%
47.3%
P3
58.7%
48.0%
OT
54.2%
46.7%
Final 5 min
55.7%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | OT | 04:01 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 7, 2025 | OT | 01:39 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 11:44 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |