Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 52.8% vs Johnston 44.8% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 97.2%
Defensive zone
Crosby 73.7%
Neutral zone
Crosby 86.2%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Crosby
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Crosby
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
0
Crosby
Johnston
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
0
Crosby
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (1,443)
42.5% (318)
+10.0%
Power Play
54.7% (369)
55.6% (9)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (34)
62.5% (8)
-6.6%
On even strength, Crosby has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Crosby is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (647).
Crosby shoots left. Johnston is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Crosby
Johnston
Home
53.0% (931)
40.5% (168)
Away
53.0% (915)
46.1% (167)
By Period
Crosby
Johnston
P1
50.3%
46.9%
P2
55.4%
40.4%
P3
53.3%
41.9%
OT
47.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 13:43 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 03:33 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |