Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Crosby wins 59.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 57.8% vs Johnston 50.1% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 94.2%
Defensive zone
Crosby 53.6%
Neutral zone
Crosby 73.9%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 84.1%
84.1%
15.9%
Crosby
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Crosby
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
0
Crosby
Johnston
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
0
Crosby
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (1,437)
50.7% (552)
+7.1%
Power Play
60.9% (381)
61.5% (13)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
43.5% (69)
+6.5%
On even strength, Crosby has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Crosby is 59.5% vs right-shot opponents (615).
Crosby shoots left. Johnston is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Crosby
Johnston
Home
59.2% (985)
50.3% (342)
Away
57.2% (887)
50.0% (292)
By Period
Crosby
Johnston
P1
57.3%
54.4%
P2
59.5%
47.2%
P3
58.5%
49.4%
OT
40.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
59.7%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
58.2%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2024 | 1 | 11:55 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 19:22 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |