Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Crosby wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 56.6% vs Johnston 51.0% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 93.5%
Defensive zone
Crosby 57.5%
Neutral zone
Crosby 76.0%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 81.0%
81.0%
19.0%
Crosby
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Crosby
Johnston
Last 10: Crosby 7-3 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
6
0
Crosby
Johnston
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
1
2
Crosby
Johnston
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Crosby
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (1,451)
52.6% (696)
+3.6%
Power Play
61.4% (293)
52.3% (88)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (38)
42.4% (125)
+12.9%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Crosby is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (618).
Crosby shoots left. Johnston is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Crosby
Johnston
Home
59.1% (939)
52.8% (458)
Away
54.7% (843)
49.4% (451)
By Period
Crosby
Johnston
P1
54.9%
48.9%
P2
60.8%
52.3%
P3
55.4%
51.4%
OT
53.6%
70.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 19:31 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 17:13 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 14:26 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 08:36 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3 | 06:32 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3 | 06:18 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 03:59 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |