Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Crosby wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 55.0% vs Johnston 48.1% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 71.9%
Defensive zone
Johnston 52.5%
Neutral zone
Crosby 55.2%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Crosby
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Crosby
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Crosby
Johnston
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
0
Crosby
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (877)
47.2% (458)
+6.0%
Power Play
63.8% (210)
50.9% (55)
+12.9%
Penalty Kill
64.3% (14)
51.6% (31)
+12.7%
On power play, Crosby has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Crosby is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Crosby shoots left. Johnston is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Home / Away
Crosby
Johnston
Home
56.4% (578)
47.7% (243)
Away
54.3% (523)
47.8% (301)
By Period
Crosby
Johnston
P1
57.0%
48.0%
P2
51.4%
48.2%
P3
57.9%
48.0%
OT
52.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
36.0%▼
52.5%
55.4%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | OT | 04:01 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 7, 2025 | OT | 01:39 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 11:44 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |