Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall. Lorentz wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lorentz 47.6% vs Johnson 53.6% (-15.3%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 52.1%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 55.6%
Neutral zone
Johnson 53.4%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Lorentz
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lorentz
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (101)
61.9% (42)
-15.4%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
55.6% (9)
-22.3%
On power play, Johnson has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Lorentz is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Lorentz shoots left. Johnson is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Lorentz
Johnson
Home
49.1% (53)
52.0% (25)
Away
42.4% (59)
69.2% (26)
By Period
Lorentz
Johnson
P1
48.6%
72.0%
P2
36.7%
66.7%
P3
57.7%
27.3%
Final 5 min
41.9%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.5%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%