Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +27.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lorentz 46.6% vs Johnson 51.4% (-27.2%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 52.7%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 55.2%
Neutral zone
Johnson 50.4%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Lorentz
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lorentz
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
30.8% (26)
63.6% (11)
-32.8%
On even strength, Johnson has a +32.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Lorentz is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Lorentz shoots left. Johnson is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Lorentz
Johnson
Home
35.0% (20)
62.5% (8)
Away
38.5% (13)
66.7% (3)
By Period
Lorentz
Johnson
P2
37.5%
85.7%
P3
25.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
36.4%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
63.6%