Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Malkin wins 38.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.0% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 67.0%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 50.7%
Neutral zone
Malkin 57.4%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Malkin
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Malkin
Stamkos
Last 5: Malkin 2-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
3
Malkin
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (366)
49.3% (789)
-5.3%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
56.9% (181)
-26.9%
On power play, Stamkos has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Malkin is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (128).
Malkin shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
Malkin
Stamkos
Home
45.5% (202)
52.0% (512)
Away
41.4% (174)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Malkin
Stamkos
P1
48.4%
42.1%
P2
41.7%
56.4%
P3
40.4%
53.7%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
42.7%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 03:47 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 17:53 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 11:38 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 03:21 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |