Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 51.7% vs Stamkos 52.8% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 54.2%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 57.8%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 57.8%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Jankowski
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Jankowski
Stamkos
Last 8: Jankowski 2-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Jankowski
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Jankowski
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
0
Jankowski
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (701)
52.9% (735)
-0.3%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
53.4% (73)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (107)
53.8% (145)
-8.0%
On power play, Jankowski has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Jankowski is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Jankowski shoots left. Stamkos is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (686).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Stamkos
Home
56.6% (424)
54.1% (481)
Away
47.0% (396)
52.1% (472)
By Period
Jankowski
Stamkos
P1
49.3%
50.2%
P2
57.4%
53.4%
P3
49.3%
55.8%
Final 5 min
54.8%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
52.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 18:53 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 07:18 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 2 | 11:36 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 2 | 08:40 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 08:41 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 01:22 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 16:29 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 01:05 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |