Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Stamkos 49.9% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 70.7%
Defensive zone
Foligno 82.8%
Neutral zone
Foligno 58.1%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Foligno
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Foligno
Stamkos
Last 10: Foligno 3-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
6
Foligno
Stamkos
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
0
Foligno
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Foligno
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (495)
49.3% (670)
-0.6%
Power Play
56.9% (65)
53.7% (121)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (144)
33.3% (3)
+10.5%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Foligno is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Foligno shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Foligno
Stamkos
Home
49.6% (359)
54.0% (400)
Away
47.2% (345)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Foligno
Stamkos
P1
46.7%
48.6%
P2
52.7%
54.5%
P3
46.7%
45.4%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 16:13 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 3 | 09:10 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 2 | 05:47 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 16, 2025 | OT | 00:56 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 01:09 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 07:18 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 18:16 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |