Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.0% vs Stamkos 52.8% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 72.7%
Defensive zone
Zacha 76.6%
Neutral zone
Zacha 77.3%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
Zacha
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Zacha
Stamkos
Last 10: Zacha 1-9 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Zacha
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Zacha
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
5
Zacha
Stamkos
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (619)
52.9% (735)
-5.1%
Power Play
58.6% (29)
53.4% (73)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
54.7% (64)
53.8% (145)
+0.9%
On power play, Zacha has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Zacha is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (213).
Zacha shoots left. Stamkos is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (686).
Home / Away
Zacha
Stamkos
Home
50.8% (394)
54.1% (481)
Away
46.5% (318)
52.1% (472)
By Period
Zacha
Stamkos
P1
48.5%
50.2%
P2
51.2%
53.4%
P3
47.6%
55.8%
OT
16.7%
36.4%
Final 5 min
51.1%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.9%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2018 | 1 | 19:48 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 3, 2018 | 1 | 00:50 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 3 | 09:29 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 2 | 17:36 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 2 | 08:30 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 2 | 00:30 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 3 | 10:56 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 3 | 01:57 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 13:38 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 12:06 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 2 | 01:39 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |