Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Couturier wins 59.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 58.7% vs Stamkos 53.8% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 64.7%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 67.3%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 65.6%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 66.0%
34.0%
66.0%
Couturier
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Couturier
Stamkos
Last 8: Couturier 3-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
3
Couturier
Stamkos
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Couturier
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
60.1% (669)
54.1% (460)
+6.0%
Power Play
60.9% (133)
64.2% (106)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (107)
45.3% (106)
+9.8%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Couturier is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Couturier shoots left. Stamkos is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Couturier
Stamkos
Home
59.9% (484)
58.2% (328)
Away
59.3% (425)
50.6% (344)
By Period
Couturier
Stamkos
P1
61.8%
57.5%
P2
57.4%
53.1%
P3
59.5%
52.7%
OT
68.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
59.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 05:09 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 17:12 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 13:16 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 07:59 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 05:37 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 00:21 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |