Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Crosby wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 53.9% vs Stamkos 49.6% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 15-8 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 70.8%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 70.9%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 72.0%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 71.3%
28.7%
71.3%
Crosby
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
15
(23 meetings)
8
15
Crosby
Stamkos
Last 10: Crosby 3-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
3
4
Crosby
Stamkos
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
5
Crosby
Stamkos
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
3
6
Crosby
Stamkos
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (594)
48.1% (669)
+4.3%
Power Play
57.9% (178)
58.2% (110)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
62.9% (62)
50.0% (40)
+12.9%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Crosby is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (394).
Crosby shoots left. Stamkos is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Crosby
Stamkos
Home
54.6% (421)
52.0% (402)
Away
54.0% (413)
47.2% (417)
By Period
Crosby
Stamkos
P1
56.3%
46.3%
P2
52.5%
52.4%
P3
54.6%
50.2%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
54.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2013 | 3 | 11:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 3 | 10:46 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 2 | 13:16 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 2 | 10:51 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 2 | 07:08 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 2 | 03:20 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 1 | 16:18 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 1 | 10:01 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 1 | 09:43 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 1 | 04:02 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 3 | 09:26 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 3 | 06:02 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 2 | 17:09 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 2 | 12:32 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |