Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Oshie wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Oshie 45.4% vs Hertl 52.3% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 84.3%
Defensive zone
Hertl 69.7%
Neutral zone
Oshie 57.0%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 69.7%
30.3%
69.7%
Oshie
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Oshie
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Oshie
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Oshie
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (26)
51.6% (1,084)
+6.1%
Power Play
41.3% (138)
61.0% (246)
-19.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (5)
44.1% (136)
-44.1%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +44.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Oshie is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (145).
Oshie shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Oshie
Hertl
Home
41.0% (78)
55.2% (696)
Away
44.0% (91)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Oshie
Hertl
P1
42.6%
55.4%
P2
41.9%
54.8%
P3
41.8%
48.9%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.2%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
42.6%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 18:58 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |