Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +29.6% FO% edge overall. Oshie wins 29.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Oshie 43.4% vs Hertl 56.8% (-29.6%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 53.8%
Defensive zone
Hertl 77.5%
Neutral zone
Hertl 52.7%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Oshie
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Oshie
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
30.0% (30)
57.0% (718)
-27.0%
Power Play
23.1% (13)
64.9% (188)
-41.8%
On power play, Hertl has a +41.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Oshie is 29.4% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Oshie shoots right. Hertl is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Oshie
Hertl
Home
22.2% (27)
59.2% (463)
Away
37.5% (16)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Oshie
Hertl
P1
28.6%
56.3%
P2
36.4%
55.4%
P3
18.2%
60.5%
Final 5 min
40.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
27.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%