Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Oshie wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Oshie 47.5% vs Hertl 54.5% (-8.7%)
Offensive zone
Oshie 65.0%
Defensive zone
Hertl 76.4%
Neutral zone
Oshie 53.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Oshie
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Oshie
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (29)
54.1% (1,117)
-5.8%
Power Play
46.3% (149)
59.8% (296)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
34.4% (32)
-34.4%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +34.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Oshie is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (152).
Oshie shoots right. Hertl is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Oshie
Hertl
Home
55.9% (93)
54.3% (709)
Away
35.6% (87)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Oshie
Hertl
P1
50.9%
51.6%
P2
42.9%
53.6%
P3
43.6%
58.6%
OT
60.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
47.8%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%