Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Thompson 45.2% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 89.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 89.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 85.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 87.6%
87.6%
12.4%
Horvat
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Horvat
Thompson
Last 5: Horvat 5-0 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (670)
44.7% (631)
+10.5%
Power Play
61.8% (225)
47.9% (94)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (98)
33.3% (33)
+13.6%
On power play, Horvat has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Horvat is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (396).
Horvat shoots left. Thompson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (538).
Home / Away
Horvat
Thompson
Home
58.1% (449)
46.0% (391)
Away
54.0% (544)
43.1% (367)
By Period
Horvat
Thompson
P1
59.2%
47.7%
P2
53.1%
44.9%
P3
55.8%
41.3%
OT
55.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
59.5%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.9%
Thompson
30.0%▼
39.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 01:15 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 15:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 02:45 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |