Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Norris wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.0% vs Thompson 41.2% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 90.6%
Defensive zone
Norris 82.8%
Neutral zone
Norris 90.8%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 87.6%
87.6%
12.4%
Norris
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Norris
Thompson
Last 5: Norris 4-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
2
1
Norris
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (886)
40.6% (801)
+10.6%
Power Play
59.0% (83)
44.7% (103)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (67)
31.0% (71)
+7.8%
On power play, Norris has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Norris is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Norris shoots left. Thompson is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Home / Away
Norris
Thompson
Home
55.6% (487)
43.2% (507)
Away
47.0% (549)
37.2% (468)
By Period
Norris
Thompson
P1
54.8%
37.7%
P2
51.3%
43.4%
P3
48.0%
39.5%
OT
33.3%
27.3%
Final 5 min
54.4%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.1%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 04:25 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 03:07 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 16:02 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |