Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.4% vs Thompson 43.8% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 93.9%
Defensive zone
Paul 93.6%
Neutral zone
Paul 87.3%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 91.1%
91.1%
8.9%
Paul
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Paul
Thompson
Last 5: Paul 5-0 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
2
0
Paul
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
2
0
Paul
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (753)
43.3% (735)
+10.5%
Power Play
58.9% (90)
50.0% (26)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (78)
36.5% (52)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Paul is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Paul shoots left. Thompson is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Paul
Thompson
Home
54.2% (450)
44.5% (407)
Away
53.3% (471)
41.6% (406)
By Period
Paul
Thompson
P1
58.2%
44.4%
P2
50.6%
44.8%
P3
52.9%
40.2%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.6%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 10:48 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 17:58 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 07:54 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 07:19 | Defensive | Nick Paul |