Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.3% vs Thompson 42.8% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 69.4%
Defensive zone
Hartman 68.1%
Neutral zone
Hartman 63.6%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Hartman
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
9
(22 meetings)
13
9
Hartman
Thompson
Last 10: Hartman 5-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
4
2
Hartman
Thompson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
4
3
Hartman
Thompson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
5
4
Hartman
Thompson
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (4,235)
42.9% (3,521)
+2.3%
Power Play
47.4% (443)
46.8% (372)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (262)
33.6% (265)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Hartman is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,381).
Hartman shoots right. Thompson is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,147).
Home / Away
Hartman
Thompson
Home
46.7% (2,589)
44.9% (2,115)
Away
43.6% (2,351)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Hartman
Thompson
P1
46.0%
44.5%
P2
42.9%
43.6%
P3
46.8%
40.2%
OT
53.8%
36.4%
Final 5 min
46.5%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 13:12 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:09 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 19:55 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:19 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 17:51 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 05:50 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 01:42 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 19:02 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 08:23 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 13:05 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 07:19 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 07:14 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 00:20 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |