Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 47.1% vs Thompson 42.9% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 17-8 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 79.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 70.8%
Neutral zone
Thompson 72.5%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 75.3%
24.7%
75.3%
Bennett
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
17
(25 meetings)
8
17
Bennett
Thompson
Last 10: Bennett 0-10 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
9
Bennett
Thompson
12 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Bennett
Thompson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
5
Bennett
Thompson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (5,533)
43.0% (3,363)
+3.8%
Power Play
52.4% (523)
46.9% (369)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (247)
33.3% (252)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Bennett has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Bennett is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,196).
Bennett shoots left. Thompson is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,874).
Home / Away
Bennett
Thompson
Home
48.1% (3,175)
45.1% (2,037)
Away
46.0% (3,128)
40.2% (1,947)
By Period
Bennett
Thompson
P1
47.8%
44.7%
P2
46.3%
43.5%
P3
46.9%
40.3%
OT
50.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
44.9%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
50.0%▲
43.0%
47.0%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 11:28 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 15:11 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 16:32 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 10:45 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 18:58 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:08 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 12:57 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 05:45 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 05:16 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 18:46 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 07:20 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 17:42 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 12:52 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 03:49 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |