Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stützle on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Stützle 47.2% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 65.8%
Defensive zone
Stützle 73.7%
Neutral zone
Stützle 68.0%
Result
Tim Stützle favored at 71.7%
28.3%
71.7%
Matthews
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Matthews
Stützle
Last 8: Matthews 3-5 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Stützle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
1
5
Matthews
Stützle
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
45.3% (468)
+8.1%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
62.5% (24)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
60.0% (20)
-18.1%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Stützle is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Matthews
Stützle
Home
56.5% (703)
46.3% (270)
Away
50.0% (616)
47.1% (242)
By Period
Matthews
Stützle
P1
52.1%
46.1%
P2
54.0%
45.8%
P3
54.0%
48.2%
OT
57.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 16:33 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 12:10 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 07:13 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 15:26 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 18:51 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 08:15 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 1 | 19:04 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |