Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Tavares wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Stützle 47.2% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 94.0%
Defensive zone
Tavares 66.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 87.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 79.3%
79.3%
20.7%
Tavares
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
2
(13 meetings)
11
2
Tavares
Stützle
Last 10: Tavares 8-2 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Stützle
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
6
0
Tavares
Stützle
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
1
Tavares
Stützle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
45.3% (468)
+13.9%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
62.5% (24)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
60.0% (20)
-17.1%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Tavares shoots left. Stützle is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Tavares
Stützle
Home
57.5% (668)
46.3% (270)
Away
61.1% (684)
47.1% (242)
By Period
Tavares
Stützle
P1
58.0%
46.1%
P2
60.1%
45.8%
P3
61.0%
48.2%
OT
27.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.7%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 19:37 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 03:22 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 05:41 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:07 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 11:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 02:09 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 3 | 09:55 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 1 | 11:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |