Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tuch wins 40.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 43.9% vs Hertl 51.4% (-13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 74.7%
Defensive zone
Hertl 77.9%
Neutral zone
Hertl 50.6%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Tuch
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Tuch
Hertl
Last 6: Tuch 3-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tuch
1
0
Tuch
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
3
Tuch
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tuch
2
0
Tuch
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
31.7% (60)
51.7% (869)
-20.0%
Power Play
46.2% (52)
55.7% (176)
-9.5%
On even strength, Hertl has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Tuch is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (90).
Tuch shoots right. Hertl is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (480).
Home / Away
Tuch
Hertl
Home
41.7% (48)
51.8% (583)
Away
35.9% (64)
51.2% (600)
By Period
Tuch
Hertl
P1
34.2%
52.5%
P2
32.6%
50.9%
P3
50.0%
51.0%
OT
100.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
34.8%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
38.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 10:05 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 16:29 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 09:24 | Neutral | Alex Tuch |
| Mar 18, 2019 | 1 | 12:41 | Neutral | Alex Tuch |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 06:40 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 2 | 13:22 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |