Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.0% vs Hertl 52.3% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 57.1%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 52.6%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 54.2%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Jarnkrok
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Jarnkrok
Hertl
Last 10: Jarnkrok 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
3
Jarnkrok
Hertl
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
3
Jarnkrok
Hertl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
1
Jarnkrok
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (326)
51.6% (1,084)
+0.2%
Power Play
54.4% (79)
61.0% (246)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (62)
44.1% (136)
-0.6%
On power play, Hertl has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Jarnkrok is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Hertl
Home
53.0% (281)
55.2% (696)
Away
48.4% (186)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Hertl
P1
51.6%
55.4%
P2
50.6%
54.8%
P3
51.5%
48.9%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.1%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 09:24 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 08:16 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 18:35 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 05:54 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 15:41 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 08:42 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 03:17 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |