Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 50.0% vs Hertl 51.4% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Sissons leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 73.4%
Defensive zone
Sissons 58.7%
Neutral zone
Sissons 52.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Sissons
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Sissons
Hertl
Last 10: Sissons 6-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
1
Sissons
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
0
Sissons
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
4
Sissons
Hertl
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (333)
50.4% (367)
-0.6%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
64.6% (48)
-24.6%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (46)
49.2% (59)
+3.0%
On power play, Hertl has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Sissons is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Sissons shoots right. Hertl is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Sissons
Hertl
Home
47.5% (177)
50.9% (220)
Away
52.2% (207)
52.4% (254)
By Period
Sissons
Hertl
P1
50.0%
52.7%
P2
47.7%
52.8%
P3
52.5%
49.7%
Final 5 min
55.3%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
50.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 17:01 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 15:50 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 04:48 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 01:05 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 1 | 15:26 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 1 | 15:19 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 1 | 03:56 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 1 | 01:41 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 02:30 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |