Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 52.6% vs Hertl 56.8% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 59.9%
Defensive zone
Hertl 91.1%
Neutral zone
Hertl 80.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 73.7%
26.3%
73.7%
Strome
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Strome
Hertl
Last 6: Strome 5-1 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
0
Strome
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,002)
57.0% (718)
-6.4%
Power Play
59.9% (299)
64.9% (188)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
44.2% (77)
+13.7%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Strome is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Strome shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Strome
Hertl
Home
51.9% (700)
59.2% (463)
Away
53.9% (620)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Strome
Hertl
P1
51.6%
56.3%
P2
53.0%
55.4%
P3
54.3%
60.5%
OT
44.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2023 | 3 | 14:42 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 3 | 14:28 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 3 | 14:22 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 3 | 12:10 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 2 | 18:47 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 2 | 16:09 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |