Eetu Luostarinen vs Tomas Hertl
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). Luostarinen wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 44.2% vs Hertl 54.2% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 57.2%
Defensive zone
Luostarinen 60.2%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 64.4%
Result
Eetu Luostarinen favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Luostarinen
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
13
(24 meetings)
11
13
Luostarinen
Hertl
Last 10: Luostarinen 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
3
Luostarinen
Hertl
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
5
4
Luostarinen
Hertl
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
4
6
Luostarinen
Hertl
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,748)
53.8% (8,268)
-9.1%
Power Play
41.7% (60)
59.3% (1,975)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (205)
46.3% (806)
-8.3%
On power play, Hertl has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Luostarinen is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,335).
Luostarinen shoots left. Hertl is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,916).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Hertl
Home
44.7% (1,006)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
43.1% (1,007)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Luostarinen
Hertl
P1
43.4%
53.6%
P2
45.3%
54.1%
P3
43.0%
55.3%
OT
37.5%
46.5%
Final 5 min
44.4%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
43.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 04:49 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 15:23 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 06:09 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 02:55 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 06:13 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 1 | 05:49 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:20 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 08:52 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 08:40 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 11:53 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 08:54 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 05:09 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 01:54 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |