Jonathan Marchessault vs Tomas Hertl
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Marchessault wins 38.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 45.8% vs Hertl 54.3% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 70.9%
Defensive zone
Hertl 51.4%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 61.9%
Result
Jonathan Marchessault favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Marchessault
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Marchessault
Hertl
Last 9: Marchessault 3-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
3
Marchessault
Hertl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
3
Marchessault
Hertl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (117)
54.7% (570)
-12.0%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
55.2% (143)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
54.5% (77)
-54.5%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Marchessault is 38.3% vs left-shot opponents (81).
Marchessault shoots right. Hertl is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Hertl
Home
41.9% (74)
56.2% (379)
Away
43.5% (62)
53.5% (411)
By Period
Marchessault
Hertl
P1
40.7%
53.4%
P2
42.9%
52.7%
P3
47.2%
57.6%
OT
25.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
30.3%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
42.6%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2019 | 3 | 15:50 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 3 | 07:54 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 3 | 00:19 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 2 | 00:10 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 1 | 10:22 | Defensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 1 | 02:28 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |