Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 52.7% vs Hertl 54.5% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 51.3%
Defensive zone
Thomas 68.2%
Neutral zone
Thomas 62.0%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Thomas
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Thomas
Hertl
Last 10: Thomas 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
4
Thomas
Hertl
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Thomas
Hertl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
5
Thomas
Hertl
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (924)
54.1% (1,117)
-0.5%
Power Play
55.2% (181)
59.8% (296)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (116)
34.4% (32)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Thomas is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Thomas shoots right. Hertl is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Thomas
Hertl
Home
53.6% (606)
54.3% (709)
Away
52.2% (615)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Thomas
Hertl
P1
48.2%
51.6%
P2
55.3%
53.6%
P3
55.2%
58.6%
OT
47.1%
45.5%
Final 5 min
55.1%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 15:45 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 16:12 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 02:46 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 00:14 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 16:30 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 05:31 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 02:43 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 18:56 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 16:45 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 13:05 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |