Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.5%). Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 52.3% vs Hertl 52.3% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 64.2%
Defensive zone
Hertl 67.6%
Neutral zone
Hertl 55.6%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Crosby
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Crosby
Hertl
Last 10: Crosby 2-8 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Crosby
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
7
Crosby
Hertl
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Crosby
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,169)
51.6% (1,084)
-0.8%
Power Play
60.2% (261)
61.0% (246)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
44.1% (136)
+0.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Crosby is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (929).
Crosby shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Crosby
Hertl
Home
53.2% (726)
55.2% (696)
Away
51.7% (724)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Crosby
Hertl
P1
51.3%
55.4%
P2
52.1%
54.8%
P3
54.1%
48.9%
OT
45.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.3%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 09:26 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 04:40 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 04:24 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 18:06 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 17:59 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 07:25 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 18:06 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 17:46 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 13:58 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 03:12 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |