Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 52.3% vs Nosek 53.4% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 64.7%
Defensive zone
Nosek 64.0%
Neutral zone
Hertl 55.3%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Hertl
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Hertl
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
0
Hertl
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hertl
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (1,084)
55.1% (557)
-3.5%
Power Play
61.0% (246)
50.0% (4)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (136)
47.7% (111)
-3.6%
On power play, Hertl has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Hertl shoots left. Nosek is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Hertl
Nosek
Home
55.2% (696)
52.3% (342)
Away
50.0% (770)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Hertl
Nosek
P1
55.4%
49.0%
P2
54.8%
53.8%
P3
48.9%
57.9%
Final 5 min
54.9%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2021 | 3 | 00:46 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 1 | 03:18 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |