Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Hertl wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 57.2% vs Nosek 46.9% (+14.2%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 79.2%
Defensive zone
Nosek 68.6%
Neutral zone
Nosek 54.6%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Hertl
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (823)
48.5% (66)
+9.6%
Power Play
56.2% (265)
100.0% (1)
-43.8%
Penalty Kill
62.9% (35)
29.6% (27)
+33.3%
On power play, Nosek has a +43.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Hertl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Hertl shoots left. Nosek is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Hertl
Nosek
Home
59.7% (561)
44.0% (25)
Away
55.9% (562)
43.5% (69)
By Period
Hertl
Nosek
P1
51.6%
46.4%
P2
63.8%
34.2%
P3
58.6%
53.6%
Final 5 min
58.2%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
43.6%