Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 54.5% vs Nosek 58.0% (-4.5%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 91.5%
Defensive zone
Nosek 89.3%
Neutral zone
Nosek 59.6%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Hertl
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (1,117)
59.7% (469)
-5.6%
Power Play
59.8% (296)
100.0% (4)
-40.2%
Penalty Kill
34.4% (32)
56.5% (124)
-22.1%
On power play, Nosek has a +40.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Hertl shoots left. Nosek is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Hertl
Nosek
Home
54.3% (709)
59.0% (295)
Away
55.3% (736)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Hertl
Nosek
P1
51.6%
56.3%
P2
53.6%
61.9%
P3
58.6%
59.2%
OT
45.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
59.3%