Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Hertl wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 54.2% vs Lewis 43.2% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 19-6 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 97.2%
Defensive zone
Hertl 97.0%
Neutral zone
Hertl 94.6%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 96.1%
96.1%
3.9%
Hertl
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
6
(25 meetings)
19
6
Hertl
Lewis
Last 10: Hertl 9-1 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
6
1
Hertl
Lewis
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
7
1
Hertl
Lewis
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
6
4
Hertl
Lewis
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,268)
43.2% (2,347)
+10.6%
Power Play
59.3% (1,975)
51.9% (108)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (806)
38.6% (365)
+7.7%
On even strength, Hertl has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Hertl is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,133).
Hertl shoots left. Lewis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,963).
Home / Away
Hertl
Lewis
Home
55.7% (5,344)
44.1% (1,395)
Away
52.8% (5,705)
41.8% (1,428)
By Period
Hertl
Lewis
P1
53.6%
42.8%
P2
54.1%
43.9%
P3
55.3%
41.9%
OT
46.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2025 | 3 | 08:34 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 3 | 08:31 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 1 | 12:00 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 11:04 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 17:18 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 17:13 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 09:38 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 18:23 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 11:19 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 08:24 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 08:19 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 05:39 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 03:01 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 03:58 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 04:17 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 17:18 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |