Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Hertl wins 61.2% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 54.5% vs Lewis 44.3% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 76.5%
Defensive zone
Hertl 59.1%
Neutral zone
Hertl 59.5%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Hertl
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hertl
Lewis
Last 5: Hertl 3-2 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hertl
Lewis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
0
Hertl
Lewis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hertl
Lewis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (1,117)
41.8% (251)
+12.3%
Power Play
59.8% (296)
45.5% (11)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
34.4% (32)
44.7% (47)
-10.3%
On power play, Hertl has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Hertl is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Hertl shoots left. Lewis is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
Hertl
Lewis
Home
54.3% (709)
39.2% (166)
Away
55.3% (736)
46.2% (143)
By Period
Hertl
Lewis
P1
51.6%
45.2%
P2
53.6%
43.8%
P3
58.6%
37.8%
OT
45.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.0%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 11:19 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 08:24 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 08:19 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 05:39 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |