Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Hertl wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 52.3% vs Lewis 45.0% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 87.5%
Defensive zone
Hertl 96.5%
Neutral zone
Hertl 88.4%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 89.7%
89.7%
10.3%
Hertl
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Hertl
Lewis
Last 5: Hertl 5-0 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
0
Hertl
Lewis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
0
Hertl
Lewis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
0
Hertl
Lewis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (1,084)
42.5% (127)
+9.1%
Power Play
61.0% (246)
66.7% (6)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (136)
38.8% (49)
+5.3%
On even strength, Hertl has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Hertl shoots left. Lewis is 39.2% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Hertl
Lewis
Home
55.2% (696)
47.4% (95)
Away
50.0% (770)
36.8% (87)
By Period
Hertl
Lewis
P1
55.4%
36.4%
P2
54.8%
45.8%
P3
48.9%
43.6%
Final 5 min
54.9%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 03:01 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 03:58 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 04:17 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |