Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +22.2% FO% edge overall. Hertl wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 56.6% vs Zegras 40.4% (+22.2%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 54.4%
Defensive zone
Hertl 60.2%
Neutral zone
Zegras 51.7%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Hertl
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (632)
33.6% (143)
+23.0%
Power Play
58.7% (206)
39.0% (41)
+19.7%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (22)
100.0% (1)
-36.4%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +36.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Hertl is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (529).
Hertl shoots left. Zegras is 34.7% vs left-shot opponents (118).
Home / Away
Hertl
Zegras
Home
59.7% (434)
31.6% (98)
Away
54.9% (426)
39.1% (87)
By Period
Hertl
Zegras
P1
51.0%
38.9%
P2
64.0%
38.0%
P3
57.8%
27.1%
OT
30.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
58.2%
29.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
57.3%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.1%