Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +27.5% FO% edge overall. Hertl wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 57.2% vs Zegras 35.4% (+27.5%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 55.6%
Defensive zone
Hertl 60.9%
Neutral zone
Hertl 68.2%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Hertl
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (823)
29.6% (230)
+28.5%
Power Play
56.2% (265)
32.1% (56)
+24.1%
Penalty Kill
62.9% (35)
100.0% (1)
-37.1%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +37.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Hertl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Hertl shoots left. Zegras is 30.7% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Hertl
Zegras
Home
59.7% (561)
30.6% (147)
Away
55.9% (562)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Hertl
Zegras
P1
51.6%
33.0%
P2
63.8%
31.7%
P3
58.6%
25.6%
OT
28.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.2%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%