Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Hertl wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 52.3% vs Johnson 53.6% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 55.5%
Defensive zone
Hertl 65.6%
Neutral zone
Hertl 52.3%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Hertl
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hertl
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Hertl
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (1,084)
61.9% (42)
-10.3%
Power Play
61.0% (246)
55.6% (9)
+5.4%
On even strength, Johnson has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Hertl shoots left. Johnson is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Hertl
Johnson
Home
55.2% (696)
52.0% (25)
Away
50.0% (770)
69.2% (26)
By Period
Hertl
Johnson
P1
55.4%
72.0%
P2
54.8%
66.7%
P3
48.9%
27.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |