Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Hertl wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 55.4% vs Johnson 51.4% (-7.7%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 60.4%
Defensive zone
Johnson 61.5%
Neutral zone
Johnson 52.3%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Hertl
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (717)
63.6% (11)
-9.5%
On even strength, Johnson has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Hertl is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Hertl shoots left. Johnson is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Hertl
Johnson
Home
58.1% (492)
62.5% (8)
Away
53.6% (466)
66.7% (3)
By Period
Hertl
Johnson
P2
54.0%
85.7%
P3
56.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
63.6%