Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Hertl wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 51.4% vs Trocheck 50.2% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 58.4%
Defensive zone
Hertl 57.3%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 54.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Hertl
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hertl
Trocheck
Last 5: Hertl 4-1 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Hertl
Trocheck
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
0
Hertl
Trocheck
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
0
Hertl
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (367)
50.3% (1,280)
+0.1%
Power Play
64.6% (48)
52.7% (201)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (59)
46.4% (183)
+2.8%
On power play, Hertl has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Hertl is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Hertl shoots left. Trocheck is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,044).
Home / Away
Hertl
Trocheck
Home
50.9% (220)
52.4% (828)
Away
52.4% (254)
48.0% (836)
By Period
Hertl
Trocheck
P1
52.7%
52.6%
P2
52.8%
50.9%
P3
49.7%
48.1%
OT
40.0%
34.4%
Final 5 min
56.9%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
51.7%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2017 | 3 | 10:43 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 3 | 06:19 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 14:16 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 13:47 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |