Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Hertl wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 55.4% vs Trocheck 58.8% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 67.8%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 53.1%
Neutral zone
Hertl 57.2%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Hertl
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Hertl
Trocheck
Last 10: Hertl 4-6 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
4
2
Hertl
Trocheck
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Hertl
Trocheck
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Hertl
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (717)
59.6% (1,032)
-5.5%
Power Play
61.9% (210)
62.1% (253)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (31)
55.4% (249)
+2.7%
On even strength, Trocheck has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Hertl is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Hertl shoots left. Trocheck is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,143).
Home / Away
Hertl
Trocheck
Home
58.1% (492)
61.7% (786)
Away
53.6% (466)
56.8% (748)
By Period
Hertl
Trocheck
P1
57.1%
61.7%
P2
54.0%
58.8%
P3
56.6%
57.6%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.4%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 09:04 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:04 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 09:16 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 05:56 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:36 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |