Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hertl wins 62.5% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 56.8% vs Trocheck 58.2% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 52.5%
Defensive zone
Hertl 71.5%
Neutral zone
Hertl 60.2%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Hertl
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Hertl
Trocheck
Last 7: Hertl 2-5 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
Hertl
Trocheck
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
3
Hertl
Trocheck
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (718)
57.6% (1,061)
-0.6%
Power Play
64.9% (188)
65.1% (338)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (77)
49.5% (101)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Hertl is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Hertl shoots left. Trocheck is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,118).
Home / Away
Hertl
Trocheck
Home
59.2% (463)
61.8% (735)
Away
56.0% (520)
55.8% (765)
By Period
Hertl
Trocheck
P1
56.3%
57.7%
P2
55.4%
57.9%
P3
60.5%
60.4%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 10:56 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 19:36 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 19:28 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 18:49 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 17:32 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |