Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hertl wins 61.2% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 54.5% vs Trocheck 55.6% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 61.4%
Defensive zone
Hertl 56.1%
Neutral zone
Hertl 57.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Hertl
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Hertl
Trocheck
Last 8: Hertl 1-7 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
3
Hertl
Trocheck
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Hertl
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
3
Hertl
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (1,117)
55.0% (956)
-0.9%
Power Play
59.8% (296)
59.8% (266)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
34.4% (32)
56.3% (64)
-21.9%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Hertl is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Hertl shoots left. Trocheck is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Hertl
Trocheck
Home
54.3% (709)
57.7% (673)
Away
55.3% (736)
54.3% (613)
By Period
Hertl
Trocheck
P1
51.6%
55.4%
P2
53.6%
55.6%
P3
58.6%
56.4%
OT
45.5%
83.3%
Final 5 min
54.0%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 18:04 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 10:53 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 20, 2022 | OT | 00:17 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 20, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 14:10 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 14:02 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 17:09 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |