Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hertl wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 52.3% vs Trocheck 54.3% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 55.6%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 50.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 64.4%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Hertl
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Hertl
Trocheck
Last 10: Hertl 5-5 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hertl
Trocheck
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
3
Hertl
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
3
0
Hertl
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (1,084)
54.3% (955)
-2.7%
Power Play
61.0% (246)
64.6% (96)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (136)
51.0% (194)
-6.9%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Hertl shoots left. Trocheck is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (904).
Home / Away
Hertl
Trocheck
Home
55.2% (696)
58.3% (604)
Away
50.0% (770)
51.2% (641)
By Period
Hertl
Trocheck
P1
55.4%
53.9%
P2
54.8%
55.7%
P3
48.9%
54.3%
OT
33.3%
54.5%
Final 5 min
54.9%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 01:26 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 04:31 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 13:19 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 07:52 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 12:54 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 1 | 06:42 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 1 | 03:37 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |